Match details. CONMEBOL Libertadores, Women. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
Form. Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. Club Olimpia have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W.
The numbers. Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito score 2.7 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito average 15.9 shots (7.8 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Club Olimpia score 3.2 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six away, with five clean sheets. Club Olimpia average 14.7 shots (7.2 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 53%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The read. No firm call: Club Olimpia are the better side, but not at this price. Club Olimpia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Club Olimpia.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Club Olimpia Over 0.5 Goals (Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito's own games don't back it (4 of 10)). Predicted score: Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito 1-1 Club Olimpia (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).