UKUNI

14:30Mon 19 Oct

ASA

Union Ksour Essef vs AS Ariana

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Union Ksour Essef are 5th on 7 points after 3 games, 1 point behind M'saken, level on points with CS Chebba. A win would take them above M'saken. AS Ariana are 17th on 4 points after 3 games, 1 point behind BS Bouhajla, level on points with Stade Soussien. A win would take them above BS Bouhajla.

Form. Union Ksour Essef have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L. AS Ariana have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D D.

The numbers. Union Ksour Essef score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Union Ksour Essef average 7.0 shots (3.0 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game. AS Ariana score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. AS Ariana average 13.8 shots (3.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Union Ksour Essef have won one, drawn none and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 29 Mar 2026, it finished Union Ksour Essef 0-1 AS Ariana.

The case against. AS Ariana's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Union Ksour Essef to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Union Ksour Essef the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Union Ksour Essef. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AS Ariana Over 0.5 goals (AS Ariana's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Union Ksour Essef 1-0 AS Ariana (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UNI 8 of 10 (80%) · ASA 5 of 5 (100%)90%

Union Ksour Essef: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AS Ariana: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Union Ksour Essef: only games against sides at AS Ariana's level · AS Ariana: only games against sides at Union Ksour Essef's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UNI 7 of 10 (70%) · ASA 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%

Union Ksour Essef: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AS Ariana: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Union Ksour Essef: only games against sides at AS Ariana's level · AS Ariana: only games against sides at Union Ksour Essef's level

UNION KSOUR ESSEF GOALS

Union Ksour Essef Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UNI 7 of 10 (70%) · ASA 5 of 5 (100%)80%

Union Ksour Essef scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AS Ariana conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Union Ksour Essef: only games against sides at AS Ariana's level · AS Ariana: only games against sides at Union Ksour Essef's level

Left off the list: AS Ariana Over 0.5 goals (AS Ariana's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.3%

Union Ksour Essef goals →

AS Ariana goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

UNION KSOUR ESSEFLWLWLLLDWW1.30 PPG

AS ARIANAWDLWLDDDLW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UNION KSOUR ESSEF HOMExAS ARIANA AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.101.40CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS30%33%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.25CORNERS A GAME5.801.25CARDS A GAME2.20

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

UNION KSOUR ESSEF 1 · 50%DRAW 0AS ARIANA 1 · 50%

2025-11-02Union Ksour Essef 2 – 0 AS Ariana

2026-03-29Union Ksour Essef 0 – 1 AS Ariana

TRENDS

Union Ksour Essef have scored in 70% of their games.

AS Ariana have scored in 70% of their games.

Union Ksour Essef kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

AS Ariana kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards