CD Real Santander vs Itagui Leones FC
Match details. Torneo DIMAYOR, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Villa Concha, Piedecuesta.
What's at stake. CD Real Santander are 10th on 16 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Quindio, level on points with Internacional Palmira. A win would take them above Quindio. Itagui Leones FC are 15th on 14 points after 13 games, level on points with Bogota FC, 1 point clear of Barranquilla. A win would take them above Bogota FC.
Form. CD Real Santander have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D D. In this competition CD Real Santander have gone D W L D D L. Itagui Leones FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L. In this competition Itagui Leones FC have gone W D D L L D.
The numbers. CD Real Santander score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CD Real Santander average 4.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Itagui Leones FC score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Itagui Leones FC average 4.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD Real Santander have won two, drawn four and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CD Real Santander won one, one was drawn and Itagui Leones FC won two. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished CD Real Santander 0-1 Itagui Leones FC.
The read. CD Real Santander to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Real Santander the likelier winners; CD Real Santander are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: CD Real Santander or Draw at 1.26, 73% on the records (CD Real Santander unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Itagui Leones FC failed to win 9 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CD Real Santander or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Real Santander or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Real Santander 1-0 Itagui Leones FC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).