Match details. Primera Division. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
Form. Huehuetecos FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W D. Csd Amatitlan have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. Huehuetecos FC score 1.6 and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets. Huehuetecos FC average 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Csd Amatitlan score 0.8 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Csd Amatitlan average 5.1 corners and 4.0 cards a game.
The read. Huehuetecos FC to win. Their goals for and against make Huehuetecos FC the likelier winners; Huehuetecos FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Huehuetecos FC.
The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19 (83%). Predicted score: Huehuetecos FC 2-0 Csd Amatitlan (13% chance).
The agreed story. Huehuetecos FC or the draw, goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).