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Aveley FC vs Maldon & Tiptree FC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Isthmian League, Pr. Div, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Aveley FC are 16th on 14 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Cheshunt, 2 points clear of Cray Wanderers. A win would take them above Cheshunt. Maldon & Tiptree FC are 18th on 10 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Cray Wanderers, 1 point clear of Brentwood Town. A win would take them above Cray Wanderers.

Form. Aveley FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. In this competition Aveley FC have gone W D L L L L. Maldon & Tiptree FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition Maldon & Tiptree FC have gone D L L L L L.

The numbers. Aveley FC score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Maldon & Tiptree FC score 1.4 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.

Head to head. In the last six meetings Aveley FC have won two, drawn one and lost three. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Aveley FC won two, one was drawn and Maldon & Tiptree FC won one. The last time they met, on 11 Aug 2026, it finished Aveley FC 0-1 Maldon & Tiptree FC.

Where it pulls both ways. Aveley FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Maldon & Tiptree FC: in the last six meetings, Aveley FC won two, Maldon & Tiptree FC won three and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Aveley FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Aveley FC 1-1 Maldon & Tiptree FC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVE 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 4 of 5 (80%)94%
Aveley FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Maldon & Tiptree FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Aveley FC: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Aveley FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.30
AVE 3 of 5 (60%) · MAL 2 of 5 (40%)85.8%
Aveley FC: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Maldon & Tiptree FC: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 5 of 6 · Aveley FC: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Aveley FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.66
AVE 3 of 5 (60%) · MAL 4 of 5 (80%)53.4%
Aveley FC: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Maldon & Tiptree FC: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 2 of 6 · Aveley FC: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Aveley FC's level
AVELEY FC GOALS
Aveley FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVE 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 5 of 5 (100%)81.7%
Aveley FC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Maldon & Tiptree FC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 6 · Aveley FC: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Aveley FC's level
MALDON & TIPTREE FC GOALS
Maldon & Tiptree FC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
AVE 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 4 of 5 (80%)64.6%
Maldon & Tiptree FC scored in 4 of 5 away · Aveley FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Aveley FC's level · Aveley FC: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Aveley FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Aveley FC or Both Teams Score (no result call); Aveley FC Over 1.5 Goals (Aveley FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Aveley FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.1%
Aveley FC goals →
Maldon & Tiptree FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
AVELEY FCWWLWLLLLDW1.30 PPG
MALDON & TIPTREE FCWWLLLLLLLD0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AVELEY FC HOMExMALDON & TIPTREE FC AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME2.6020%CLEAN SHEETS0%25%FAILED TO SCORE23%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.17POINTS A GAME0.77+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.38–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.212LEAGUE GAMES13
Aveley FC: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
83%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 85/90
AVELEY FC OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
MALDON & TIPTREE FC OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AVELEY FCxMALDON & TIPTREE FC
6GAMES61.67SCORED A GAME1.172.00CONCEDED A GAME3.173.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.383%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%67%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6
AVELEY FC 2 · 33%DRAW 1MALDON & TIPTREE FC 3 · 50%
2 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-08-31Aveley FC 0 – 2 Maldon & Tiptree FC
2020-01-04Aveley FC 1 – 3 Maldon & Tiptree FC
2021-08-21Aveley FC 1 – 0 Maldon & Tiptree FC
2021-10-22Aveley FC 5 – 3 Maldon & Tiptree FC
2022-03-15Aveley FC 0 – 0 Maldon & Tiptree FC
2026-08-11Aveley FC 0 – 1 Maldon & Tiptree FC
TRENDS
Aveley FC failed to score in 25% of their games.
Maldon & Tiptree FC failed to score in 23% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table
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