Match details. Eliteliga Vorarlberg. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Austria Lustenau II have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. FC BW Feldkirch have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. Austria Lustenau II score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC BW Feldkirch score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Austria Lustenau II 2-1 FC BW Feldkirch (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Austria Lustenau II the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).