Match details. 2. CFL. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. FK Berane have won none, drawn two and lost seven of their last nine league games, 0.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L L. FK Lovcen have won four, drawn one and lost four of their last nine league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W L W.
The numbers. FK Berane score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. FK Lovcen score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Lovcen average 1.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. FK Berane's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. FK Lovcen to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Lovcen the likelier winners; FK Lovcen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Lovcen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or FK Lovcen at 1.25, rated 78% (FK Lovcen unbeaten in 5 of 9; FK Berane failed to win 9 of 9). Backup: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.29. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: FK Berane 1-2 FK Lovcen (9% chance).
The agreed story. FK Lovcen or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).