Match details. Super Lig, Women. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. Yuksekova SK have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D D L W. Fenerbahce Istanbul have won six, drawn none and lost none of their last six league games, 3.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Yuksekova SK score 2.3 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Yuksekova SK average 5.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Fenerbahce Istanbul score 5.5 and concede 0.2 a game over their last six, with five clean sheets. Fenerbahce Istanbul average 11.7 shots (6.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 0.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 89% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Fenerbahce Istanbul are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Fenerbahce Istanbul are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fenerbahce Istanbul. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.36, rated 74% (Yuksekova SK: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; Fenerbahce Istanbul: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6). Predicted score: Yuksekova SK 1-2 Fenerbahce Istanbul (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Fenerbahce Istanbul the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).