Match details. Taca de Portugal, Round of 64. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Municipal de Alpendorada, Alpendurada e Matos.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FC Alpendorada have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. In this competition FC Alpendorada have gone W. Casa Pia Lisbon have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L.
The numbers. FC Alpendorada score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Casa Pia Lisbon score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Casa Pia Lisbon average 9.6 shots (2.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 22 Nov 2025, it finished FC Alpendorada 0-3 Casa Pia Lisbon.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: FC Alpendorada are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Casa Pia Lisbon.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Alpendorada 1-1 Casa Pia Lisbon (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).