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PORTUGAL - TACA DE PORTUGAL
FC Alpendorada crestFAFCA
15:00Sun 18 Oct
CASCasa Pia Lisbon crestCP

FC Alpendorada vs Casa Pia Lisbon

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. Taca de Portugal, Round of 64. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Municipal de Alpendorada, Alpendurada e Matos.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. FC Alpendorada have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. In this competition FC Alpendorada have gone W. Casa Pia Lisbon have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L.

The numbers. FC Alpendorada score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Casa Pia Lisbon score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Casa Pia Lisbon average 9.6 shots (2.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 22 Nov 2025, it finished FC Alpendorada 0-3 Casa Pia Lisbon.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: FC Alpendorada are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Casa Pia Lisbon.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Alpendorada 1-1 Casa Pia Lisbon (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCA 4 of 5 (80%) · CAS 5 of 5 (100%)90%
FC Alpendorada: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCA 4 of 5 (80%) · CAS 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%
FC Alpendorada: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
FC ALPENDORADA GOALS
FC Alpendorada Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCA 4 of 5 (80%) · CAS 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%
FC Alpendorada scored in 4 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCA 5 of 5 (100%) · CAS 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%
FC Alpendorada: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCA 2 of 5 (40%) · CAS 4 of 5 (80%)61.7%
FC Alpendorada: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Casa Pia Lisbon: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 14%
FC Alpendorada goals →
Casa Pia Lisbon goals ↓
0-011%
1-011%
2-07%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.2%
0-26%
1-27%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
FC ALPENDORADAWLWLWLLLWD1.30 PPG
CASA PIA LISBONDWLLLLDLWL0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC ALPENDORADA HOMExCASA PIA LISBON AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME0.501.20CONCEDED A GAME1.7040%CLEAN SHEETS30%20%FAILED TO SCORE75%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1
FC ALPENDORADA 0 · 0%DRAW 0CASA PIA LISBON 1 · 100%
2025-11-22FC Alpendorada 0 – 3 Casa Pia Lisbon
TRENDS
FC Alpendorada have scored in 80% of their games.
Casa Pia Lisbon have scored in 30% of their games.
FC Alpendorada kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Casa Pia Lisbon kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head
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