Match details. K-League 2, Regular Season - 30. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
What's at stake. Busan IPark are 5th on 45 points after 28 games, 7 points behind Daegu FC, 1 point clear of Hwaseong. Gyeongnam FC are 9th on 35 points after 27 games, 1 point behind Asan Mugunghwa, 3 points clear of Cheongju. A win would take them above Asan Mugunghwa.
Form. Busan IPark have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. In this competition Busan IPark have gone W D L W L L. Gyeongnam FC have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. In this competition Gyeongnam FC have gone D L D W W D.
The numbers. Busan IPark score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Busan IPark average 4.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Gyeongnam FC score 0.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Gyeongnam FC average 3.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Busan IPark have won five, drawn three and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Busan IPark won one, one was drawn and Gyeongnam FC won two. The last time they met, on 4 Apr 2026, it finished Busan IPark 2-1 Gyeongnam FC.
The case against. Gyeongnam FC's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Busan IPark or the draw. A tight game. The meetings favour Busan IPark. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Busan IPark 1-1 Gyeongnam FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).