Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time. It is played at Cardinale Stadium. The referee is B. Frey.
What's at stake. Monterey Bay FC are 12th on 21 points after 29 games, 15 points behind Las Vegas Lights. Las Vegas Lights are 11th on 36 points after 29 games, 2 points behind Oakland Roots, 15 points clear of Monterey Bay. A win would take them above Oakland Roots. Monterey Bay FC have nothing left to play for. Las Vegas Lights have nothing left to play for.
Form. Monterey Bay FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Monterey Bay FC have gone L L W L L D. Las Vegas Lights have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. In this competition Las Vegas Lights have gone L L W L D W.
The numbers. Monterey Bay FC score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Monterey Bay FC average 3.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Las Vegas Lights score 1.4 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Las Vegas Lights average 4.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Monterey Bay FC have won four, drawn two and lost four. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and Las Vegas Lights won three. The last time they met, on 12 Jul 2026, it finished Monterey Bay FC 2-3 Las Vegas Lights.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The case against. Monterey Bay FC's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Las Vegas Lights to win. Las Vegas Lights are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Las Vegas Lights; the meetings favour Las Vegas Lights.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Monterey Bay FC Under 1.5 goals (Las Vegas Lights's own games don't back it (4 of 10)). Predicted score: Monterey Bay FC 0-1 Las Vegas Lights (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Las Vegas Lights or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 10 of 10 (100%) · LAS 5 of 5 (100%)90.6%
Las Vegas Lights: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Monterey Bay FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Monterey Bay FC's level · Monterey Bay FC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level
Las Vegas Lights win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.20
MON 8 of 10 (80%) · LAS 5 of 5 (100%)78.7%
Las Vegas Lights: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Monterey Bay FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Monterey Bay FC's level · Monterey Bay FC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level
Las Vegas Lights or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.29
MON 3 of 5 (60%) · LAS 6 of 10 (60%)73.3%
Las Vegas Lights scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Monterey Bay FC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 at home
Las Vegas Lights 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.63
MON 2 of 5 (40%) · LAS 5 of 10 (50%)56.7%
Las Vegas Lights scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Monterey Bay FC trailed in 4 of 5 at home
Las Vegas Lights or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.33
MON 7 of 10 (70%) · LAS 3 of 5 (60%)56.3%
Las Vegas Lights: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Monterey Bay FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Monterey Bay FC's level · Monterey Bay FC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level
Double Chance: Draw or Las Vegas LightsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
MON 4 of 10 (40%) · LAS 5 of 5 (100%)52.8%
Las Vegas Lights unbeaten in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Monterey Bay FC failed to win 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6 · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Monterey Bay FC's level · Monterey Bay FC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
MON 4 of 5 (80%) · LAS 9 of 10 (90%)95.7%
Monterey Bay FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Las Vegas Lights: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Monterey Bay FC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Monterey Bay FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 5 of 5 (100%) · LAS 10 of 10 (100%)94.4%
Monterey Bay FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Las Vegas Lights: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · Monterey Bay FC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Monterey Bay FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.25
MON 3 of 5 (60%) · LAS 7 of 10 (70%)89.7%
Monterey Bay FC: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Las Vegas Lights: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Monterey Bay FC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Monterey Bay FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
MON 4 of 5 (80%) · LAS 9 of 10 (90%)75.6%
Monterey Bay FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Las Vegas Lights: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · Monterey Bay FC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Monterey Bay FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.50
MON 4 of 5 (80%) · LAS 6 of 10 (60%)54.1%
Monterey Bay FC: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Las Vegas Lights: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 6 · Monterey Bay FC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Monterey Bay FC's level
MONTEREY BAY FC GOALS
Monterey Bay FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
MON 4 of 5 (80%) · LAS 8 of 10 (80%)74.9%
Monterey Bay FC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Las Vegas Lights conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · Monterey Bay FC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Monterey Bay FC's level
LAS VEGAS LIGHTS GOALS
Las Vegas Lights Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.19
MON 8 of 10 (80%) · LAS 5 of 5 (100%)67.4%
Las Vegas Lights scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Monterey Bay FC conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Monterey Bay FC's level · Monterey Bay FC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.13
MON 4 of 5 (80%) · LAS 9 of 10 (90%)81.7%
Monterey Bay FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Las Vegas Lights: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Monterey Bay FC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Monterey Bay FC's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.24
MON 4 of 5 (80%) · LAS 9 of 10 (90%)76.3%
Monterey Bay FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Las Vegas Lights: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Monterey Bay FC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Monterey Bay FC's level
Left off the list: Monterey Bay FC Under 1.5 goals (Las Vegas Lights's own games don't back it (4 of 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–18.1%
Monterey Bay FC goals →
Las Vegas Lights goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
MONTEREY BAY FCLDLDDLLWLL0.60 PPG
LAS VEGAS LIGHTSWLLLWDLWLL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MONTEREY BAY FC HOMExLAS VEGAS LIGHTS AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.402.00CONCEDED A GAME1.900%CLEAN SHEETS20%31%FAILED TO SCORE14%3.93CORNERS A GAME4.002.69CARDS A GAME1.90
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.47POINTS A GAME1.31-0.87GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.19-1.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.10.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.815LEAGUE GAMES16
Las Vegas Lights: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
49%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
73%
NO · 85/90
MONTEREY BAY FC OR DRAW
31%
NO · 80/85
LAS VEGAS LIGHTS OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 16 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MONTEREY BAY FCxLAS VEGAS LIGHTS
6GAMES71.17SCORED A GAME1.432.17CONCEDED A GAME1.293.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.783%OVER 1.5 GOALS71%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS43%83%BOTH SCORE43%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
MONTEREY BAY FC 4 · 40%DRAW 2LAS VEGAS LIGHTS 4 · 40%
5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-05-08Monterey Bay FC 1 – 0 Las Vegas Lights
2022-09-28Monterey Bay FC 0 – 4 Las Vegas Lights
2023-06-11Monterey Bay FC 2 – 1 Las Vegas Lights
2023-09-17Monterey Bay FC 3 – 2 Las Vegas Lights
2024-04-14Monterey Bay FC 3 – 1 Las Vegas Lights
2024-09-15Monterey Bay FC 0 – 0 Las Vegas Lights
2025-06-15Monterey Bay FC 0 – 2 Las Vegas Lights
2025-10-26Monterey Bay FC 1 – 1 Las Vegas Lights
TRENDS
Monterey Bay FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Las Vegas Lights have scored in 80% of their games.
Monterey Bay FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Las Vegas Lights kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards