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MEXICO - LIGA DE EXPANSION MX
Venados  FC crestVFVEN
00:00Sun 25 Oct
ALAAlacranes de Durango crestAD

Venados FC vs Alacranes de Durango

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura - 14. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero. The referee is J. M. Negrete Preciado.

What's at stake. Venados FC are 5th on 21 points after 13 games, level on points with Piratas, level on points with Durango. A win would take them above Piratas. Alacranes de Durango are 6th on 21 points after 13 games, level on points with Venados FC, 2 points clear of Cancún. A win would take them above Venados FC.

Form. Venados FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L. In this competition Venados FC have gone D D W W L W. Alacranes de Durango have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition Alacranes de Durango have gone W D W W W L.

The numbers. Venados FC score 2.1 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Venados FC average 5.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Alacranes de Durango score 0.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Alacranes de Durango average 5.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Venados FC have won one, drawn one and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 23 Feb 2023, it finished Venados FC 1-0 Alacranes de Durango.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Venados FC 1-1 Alacranes de Durango (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VEN 7 of 10 (70%) · ALA 5 of 5 (100%)94.1%
Venados FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.15
VEN 6 of 10 (60%) · ALA 5 of 5 (100%)85.9%
Venados FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.21
VEN 10 of 10 (100%) · ALA 1 of 5 (20%)76.3%
Venados FC: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: over 1.5 goals in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.8%
Venados FC goals →
Alacranes de Durango goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
VENADOS FCLWLLWLWWDD1.40 PPG
ALACRANES DE DURANGOLLDDLWWWDW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
VENADOS FC HOMExALACRANES DE DURANGO AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME1.402.00CONCEDED A GAME0.8010%CLEAN SHEETS50%0%FAILED TO SCORE38%5.38CORNERS A GAME5.542.69CARDS A GAME2.46
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.64POINTS A GAME1.67+0.36GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.42+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.71.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.411LEAGUE GAMES12
Alacranes de Durango: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
VENADOS FC OR DRAW
79%
NO · 80/85
ALACRANES DE DURANGO OR DRAW
43%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
VENADOS FCxALACRANES DE DURANGO
5GAMES62.80SCORED A GAME0.500.80CONCEDED A GAME0.503.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS17%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%60%BOTH SCORE0%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
VENADOS FC 1 · 50%DRAW 1ALACRANES DE DURANGO 0 · 0%
2022-07-21Venados FC 1 – 1 Alacranes de Durango
2023-02-23Venados FC 1 – 0 Alacranes de Durango
TRENDS
Venados FC have scored in 100% of their games.
Alacranes de Durango have scored in 60% of their games.
Venados FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Alacranes de Durango kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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