Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura - 14. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero. The referee is J. M. Negrete Preciado.
What's at stake. Venados FC are 5th on 21 points after 13 games, level on points with Piratas, level on points with Durango. A win would take them above Piratas. Alacranes de Durango are 6th on 21 points after 13 games, level on points with Venados FC, 2 points clear of Cancún. A win would take them above Venados FC.
Form. Venados FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L. In this competition Venados FC have gone D D W W L W. Alacranes de Durango have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition Alacranes de Durango have gone W D W W W L.
The numbers. Venados FC score 2.1 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Venados FC average 5.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Alacranes de Durango score 0.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Alacranes de Durango average 5.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Venados FC have won one, drawn one and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 23 Feb 2023, it finished Venados FC 1-0 Alacranes de Durango.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Venados FC 1-1 Alacranes de Durango (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).