Match details. Liga de Expansion MX. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Tapatio have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. Atletico Morelia have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W.
The numbers. CD Tapatio score three and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CD Tapatio average 3.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Atletico Morelia score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Atletico Morelia average 7.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The case against. CD Tapatio's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Atletico Morelia to win. An open game. Atletico Morelia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atletico Morelia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 76% on the records (CD Tapatio: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Atletico Morelia: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Atletico Morelia win or both teams score at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Atletico Morelia or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CD Tapatio Under 1.5 goals (CD Tapatio's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: CD Tapatio 1-2 Atletico Morelia (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Atletico Morelia or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · CD Tapatio: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 100% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia win or both teams scoreBACKUPIN CODES
1.19
CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · CD Tapatio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 4 of 5 (80%)66.7%
Atletico Morelia scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · CD Tapatio trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 at home · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDT 3 of 5 (60%) · ATL 3 of 5 (60%)53.3%
Atletico Morelia scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 away · CD Tapatio trailed in 2 of 5 at home · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.17
CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 3 of 5 (60%)75.9%
CD Tapatio: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Morelia: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 2 of 5 (40%)50.8%
CD Tapatio: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Morelia: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 3 of 5 (60%)55.5%
CD Tapatio: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Atletico Morelia: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
CD TAPATIO GOALS
CD Tapatio Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.24
CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 3 of 5 (60%)75.6%
CD Tapatio scored in 5 of 5 at home · Atletico Morelia conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
ATLETICO MORELIA GOALS
Atletico Morelia Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.20
CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 4 of 5 (80%)72.6%
Atletico Morelia scored in 5 of 5 away · CD Tapatio conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Left off the list: Atletico Morelia or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (64%) and the records (88%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); CD Tapatio Under 1.5 goals (CD Tapatio's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–27.9%
CD Tapatio goals →
Atletico Morelia goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
CD TAPATIOLWLLWLLDWW1.30 PPG
ATLETICO MORELIALDDLWWWWLW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD TAPATIO HOMExATLETICO MORELIA AWAY
1.77SCORED A GAME1.771.92CONCEDED A GAME1.1570%BOTH SCORED70%10%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.85CORNERS A GAME7.232.38CARDS A GAME2.77
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.17POINTS A GAME1.92-0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.75-3.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.01.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.612LEAGUE GAMES12
Atletico Morelia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
ATLETICO MORELIA 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 85/90
CD TAPATIO OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
ATLETICO MORELIA OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD TAPATIOxATLETICO MORELIA
6GAMES62.50SCORED A GAME1.001.67CONCEDED A GAME0.834.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.883%OVER 1.5 GOALS50%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS33%67%BOTH SCORE50%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Tapatio have scored in 80% of their games.
Atletico Morelia have scored in 100% of their games.
CD Tapatio kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Atletico Morelia kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards