Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 03:30 Lagos time. It is played at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego. The referee is Allen Chapman.
What's at stake. San Diego FC are 12th on 34 points after 30 games, level on points with Portland Timbers, level on points with Minnesota United FC. A win would take them above Portland Timbers. Seattle Sounders are 7th on 42 points after 30 games, 4 points behind Los Angeles FC, 2 points clear of Los Angeles Galaxy. San Diego FC have nothing left to play for.
Team news. San Diego FC are without E. Achouri (lower-body injury), O. Soe (lower-body injury), E. Achouri (lower-body injury), O. Soe (lower-body injury). Seattle Sounders are without Y. Gomez Andrade (hamstring injury), D. Musovski (head injury), N. Petkovic (knee injury), P. de La Vega (calf injury), S. Hawkins (hamstring injury), P. Rothrock (hamstring injury).
Form. San Diego FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D D. In this competition San Diego FC have gone D D L D D L. Seattle Sounders have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. In this competition Seattle Sounders have gone D L W W W W.
The numbers. San Diego FC score 2.2 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. San Diego FC average 12.0 shots (4.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Seattle Sounders score 1.7 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Seattle Sounders average 15.2 shots (6.2 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings San Diego FC have won one, drawn one and lost one. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished San Diego FC 1-1 Seattle Sounders: San Diego FC had 15 shots to 26, 54% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 76% on the records (San Diego FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Seattle Sounders: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Seattle Sounders or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Seattle Sounders win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: San Diego FC 2-1 Seattle Sounders (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).