Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 03:30 Lagos time. It is played at Providence Park, Portland. The referee is Rosendo Mendoza.
What's at stake. Portland Timbers are 11th on 34 points after 30 games, 2 points behind Real Salt Lake, level on points with San Diego. A win would take them above Real Salt Lake. Charlotte FC are 5th on 47 points after 30 games, 1 point behind Chicago Fire, 1 point clear of Philadelphia Union. A win would take them above Chicago Fire. Portland Timbers have nothing left to play for, while Charlotte FC need the win.
Team news. Portland Timbers are without A. Bonetig (shoulder injury), B. Bye (leg injury), Z. McGraw (back injury), J. Mosquera (foot injury), Antony (knee injury), H. Sulte (lower-body injury). Charlotte FC are without N. Berchimas (foot injury), B. Bronico (groin injury), W. Cleary (illness), A. Goodwin (foot injury), A. John (shoulder injury), A. Doucoure (inactive).
Form. Portland Timbers have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L. In this competition Portland Timbers have gone D L D L L L. Charlotte FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. In this competition Charlotte FC have gone D L W L W D.
The numbers. Portland Timbers score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Portland Timbers average 14.1 shots (4.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Charlotte FC score two and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Charlotte FC average 11.6 shots (4.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 4 May 2024, it finished Portland Timbers 0-2 Charlotte FC: Portland Timbers had 6 shots to 14, 54% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The case against. Charlotte FC's record still gives them 47% to win.
The read. Portland Timbers or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Charlotte FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Charlotte FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11, 76% on the records (Portland Timbers: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Charlotte FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Portland Timbers 2-1 Charlotte FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).