Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Toyota Stadium(Texas), Frisco. The referee is Rubiel Vazquez.
What's at stake. FC Dallas are 3rd on 51 points after 30 games, level on points with St. Louis City, 3 points clear of San Jose Earthquakes. A win would take them above St. Louis City. San Jose Earthquakes are 4th on 48 points after 30 games, 3 points behind FC Dallas, 1 point clear of Houston Dynamo. A win would take them level on points with FC Dallas.
Team news. FC Dallas are without S. Sarver (red card), L. Farrington (lower-body injury), Geovane Jesus (knee injury), A. A. Julio Santos (lower-body injury), Kaick (personal reasons), S. Sarver (red card). San Jose Earthquakes are without N. Adimabua (hernia), D. Johnson (lower-body injury), D. Jones (achilles tendon injury), P. Judd (yellow cards), B. Kikanovic (lower-body injury), J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza (injury). P. Judd is their top scorer.
Form. FC Dallas have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. In this competition FC Dallas have gone D W L W D W. San Jose Earthquakes have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W D. In this competition San Jose Earthquakes have gone D D D W D W.
The numbers. FC Dallas score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FC Dallas average 13.1 shots (5.2 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. San Jose Earthquakes score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. San Jose Earthquakes average 13.1 shots (4.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Dallas have won three, drawn five and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in ten. In the last four, FC Dallas won one, one was drawn and San Jose Earthquakes won two. The last time they met, on 17 May 2026, it finished FC Dallas 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes: FC Dallas had 16 shots to 16, 45% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. FC Dallas to win. A draw is live. Their goals for and against make FC Dallas the likelier winners; FC Dallas are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: FC Dallas or Draw at 1.28, 74% on the records (FC Dallas unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; San Jose Earthquakes failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: San Jose Earthquakes Over 0.5 goals (FC Dallas's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); FC Dallas or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: FC Dallas 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).