Ulsan HD FC vs FC Pohang Steelers
Match details. K-League 1, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium.
What's at stake. Ulsan HD FC are 2nd on 50 points after 32 games, 16 points behind FC Seoul, 3 points clear of Jeonbuk Motors. FC Pohang Steelers are 9th on 41 points after 32 games, 1 point behind FC Anyang, 7 points clear of Gimcheon Sangmu FC. A win would take them above FC Anyang.
Form. Ulsan HD FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. In this competition Ulsan HD FC have gone W L L W W D. FC Pohang Steelers have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D. In this competition FC Pohang Steelers have gone D L W D D L.
The numbers. Ulsan HD FC score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Ulsan HD FC average 11.3 shots (4.2 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. FC Pohang Steelers score 0.9 and concede 1.7 a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. FC Pohang Steelers average 11.7 shots (4.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Ulsan HD FC have won four, drawn two and lost three. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Ulsan HD FC won one, two were drawn and FC Pohang Steelers won one. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished Ulsan HD FC 2-0 FC Pohang Steelers.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. FC Pohang Steelers's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The read. Ulsan HD FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Ulsan HD FC the likelier winners; Ulsan HD FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ulsan HD FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Ulsan HD FC 1UP at 1.46, 83% on the records (Ulsan HD FC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 5; led in 5 of 5 at home). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Ulsan HD FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Ulsan HD FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ulsan HD FC 1-0 FC Pohang Steelers (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).