FOFAG

11:00Wed 21 Oct

MIT

Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock

CLASS D

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

DOUBLE CHANCE

Class D

FOv

Double Chance: Fagiano Okayama or…

Fagiano Okayama v Mito Hollyhock

Japan - J1 League · 11:00

1.22odds

82%book

-6edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at JFE Harenokuni Stadium, Okayama.

What's at stake. Fagiano Okayama are 11th on 13 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Shimizu S-pulse, 1 point clear of Nagoya Grampus. A win would take them above Shimizu S-pulse. Mito Hollyhock are 14th on 9 points after 10 games, 3 points behind Cerezo Osaka, level on points with V-varen Nagasaki. A win would take them level on points with Cerezo Osaka.

Form. Fagiano Okayama have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. In this competition Fagiano Okayama have gone L L L W W W. Mito Hollyhock have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. In this competition Mito Hollyhock have gone L L L L D W.

The numbers. Fagiano Okayama score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Fagiano Okayama average 12.9 shots (3.1 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Mito Hollyhock score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mito Hollyhock average 8.8 shots (3.1 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Fagiano Okayama have won four, drawn five and lost one. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Fagiano Okayama won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 22 Sep 2024, it finished Fagiano Okayama 0-0 Mito Hollyhock.

The case against. Mito Hollyhock's record still gives them 24% to win.

The read. Fagiano Okayama to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Fagiano Okayama the likelier winners; Fagiano Okayama are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fagiano Okayama; the meetings favour Fagiano Okayama. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Fagiano Okayama or Draw at 1.22, 76% on the records (Fagiano Okayama unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; Mito Hollyhock failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Mito Hollyhock Under 1.5 goals (Fagiano Okayama's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Mito Hollyhock (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Fagiano Okayama (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.32

FAG 4 of 9 (44%) · MIT 5 of 7 (71%)79.6%

Fagiano Okayama won 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Mito Hollyhock lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · H2H 3 of 3 · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at Mito Hollyhock's level · Mito Hollyhock: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 3

Fagiano Okayama or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.14

FAG 3 of 5 (60%) · MIT 8 of 10 (80%)75.7%

Fagiano Okayama: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Mito Hollyhock: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 6 of 6 · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at Mito Hollyhock's level · Mito Hollyhock: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level

Double Chance: Fagiano Okayama or DrawMAININ CODES

1.22

FAG 3 of 5 (60%) · MIT 8 of 10 (80%)75.5%

Fagiano Okayama unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · Mito Hollyhock failed to win 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 6 of 6 · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at Mito Hollyhock's level · Mito Hollyhock: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level

Fagiano Okayama or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.58

FAG 2 of 5 (40%) · MIT 8 of 10 (80%)59.5%

Fagiano Okayama: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Mito Hollyhock: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 6 of 6 · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at Mito Hollyhock's level · Mito Hollyhock: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level

Fagiano Okayama to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.83

FAG 2 of 5 (40%) · MIT 5 of 10 (50%)54.8%

Fagiano Okayama won 2 of 5 at home · Mito Hollyhock lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45% · H2H 3 of 6 · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at Mito Hollyhock's level · Mito Hollyhock: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.10

FAG 4 of 5 (80%) · MIT 9 of 10 (90%)90.3%

Fagiano Okayama: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Mito Hollyhock: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at Mito Hollyhock's level · Mito Hollyhock: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.29

FAG 4 of 5 (80%) · MIT 8 of 10 (80%)74.6%

Fagiano Okayama: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Mito Hollyhock: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at Mito Hollyhock's level · Mito Hollyhock: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level

FAGIANO OKAYAMA GOALS

Fagiano Okayama Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.22

FAG 3 of 5 (60%) · MIT 10 of 10 (100%)77%

Fagiano Okayama scored in 3 of 5 at home · Mito Hollyhock conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at Mito Hollyhock's level · Mito Hollyhock: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level

MITO HOLLYHOCK GOALS

Mito Hollyhock Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.59

FAG 7 of 10 (70%) · MIT 3 of 5 (60%)50.5%

Mito Hollyhock scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fagiano Okayama conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6 · Mito Hollyhock: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at Mito Hollyhock's level

CORNERS

Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAG 7 of 8 (88%) · MIT 5 of 8 (62%)75%

Fagiano Okayama's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Mito Hollyhock's games: over 6.5 corners in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at Mito Hollyhock's level · Mito Hollyhock: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAG 8 of 8 (100%) · MIT 5 of 8 (62%)81.3%

Fagiano Okayama's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Mito Hollyhock's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at Mito Hollyhock's level · Mito Hollyhock: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level

Left off the list: Mito Hollyhock Under 1.5 goals (Fagiano Okayama's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.2%

Fagiano Okayama goals →

Mito Hollyhock goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FAGIANO OKAYAMALWDLWWWLLL1.30 PPG

MITO HOLLYHOCKLDWDWDLLLL0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FAGIANO OKAYAMA HOMExMITO HOLLYHOCK AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.201.50CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS0%20%FAILED TO SCORE30%6.25CORNERS A GAME3.502.88CARDS A GAME1.621.46xG0.941.78xG AGAINST1.99

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.33POINTS A GAME0.90-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.20-1.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.51.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.29LEAGUE GAMES10

Fagiano Okayama: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

70%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FAGIANO OKAYAMA OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

MITO HOLLYHOCK OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FAGIANO OKAYAMAxMITO HOLLYHOCK

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.402.00CONCEDED A GAME1.403.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE40%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

FAGIANO OKAYAMA 4 · 40%DRAW 5MITO HOLLYHOCK 1 · 10%

6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2020-08-08Fagiano Okayama 3 – 1 Mito Hollyhock

2020-10-04Fagiano Okayama 0 – 0 Mito Hollyhock

2021-04-17Fagiano Okayama 1 – 2 Mito Hollyhock

2021-10-24Fagiano Okayama 1 – 1 Mito Hollyhock

2022-05-04Fagiano Okayama 2 – 1 Mito Hollyhock

2022-06-25Fagiano Okayama 1 – 1 Mito Hollyhock

2023-03-05Fagiano Okayama 1 – 1 Mito Hollyhock

2023-07-01Fagiano Okayama 1 – 0 Mito Hollyhock

TRENDS

Fagiano Okayama failed to score in 20% of their games.

Mito Hollyhock failed to score in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecornerscards