FC Juarez vs Atlante FC
Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 13. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juarez. The referee is Katia García.
What's at stake. FC Juarez are 18th on 4 points after 12 games, 5 points behind Necaxa. Atlante FC are 16th on 11 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Atletico San Luis, 2 points clear of Necaxa. A win would take them above Atletico San Luis.
Form. FC Juarez have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. In this competition FC Juarez have gone L D L W L L. Atlante FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L. In this competition Atlante FC have gone L L W D L D.
The numbers. FC Juarez score one and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Juarez average 10.0 shots (3.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.8 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Atlante FC score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atlante FC average 17.1 shots (5.2 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings FC Juarez have won three, drawn one and lost four. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FC Juarez won two and Atlante FC won two. The last time they met, on 3 Oct 2019, it finished FC Juarez 1-0 Atlante FC.
The case against. FC Juarez's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. Atlante FC to win. A tight game. Atlante FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atlante FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.41, 73% on the records (FC Juarez: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Atlante FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Juarez Under 1.5 goals (Atlante FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Juarez 0-1 Atlante FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).