KF Dukagjini vs KF Drenica Skenderaj
Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. KF Dukagjini are 5th on 16 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Drita, 3 points clear of Ballkani. A win would take them above Drita. KF Drenica Skenderaj are 7th on 10 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Ballkani, 2 points clear of Feronikeli. A win would take them level on points with Ballkani.
Form. KF Dukagjini have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D W. KF Drenica Skenderaj have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L.
The numbers. KF Dukagjini score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. KF Dukagjini average 10.5 shots (3.0 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.8 cards a game. KF Drenica Skenderaj score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. KF Drenica Skenderaj average 7.8 shots (2.7 on target), 2.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings KF Dukagjini have won five, drawn three and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, KF Dukagjini won one, two were drawn and KF Drenica Skenderaj won one. The last time they met, on 15 Aug 2026, it finished KF Dukagjini 0-0 KF Drenica Skenderaj.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 57% against the records' 36%.
The read. No firm call: KF Dukagjini are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make KF Dukagjini the likelier winners; KF Dukagjini are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 74% on the records (KF Dukagjini: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9; KF Drenica Skenderaj: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). The safer one: KF Dukagjini or Draw at 1.18 (76%). Backup: KF Dukagjini or Draw at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: KF Dukagjini or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); KF Dukagjini or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: KF Dukagjini 1-1 KF Drenica Skenderaj (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).