Match details. National League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Green Stadium, Nof HaGalil.
What's at stake. Maccabi Bney Reine are 9th on 13 points after 9 games, level on points with Kafr Qasim, 2 points clear of Ironi Modi'in. A win would take them above Kafr Qasim. Hapoel Rishon Lezion FC are 3rd on 20 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Bnei Yehuda, 1 point clear of Kiryat Yam SC. A win would take them level on points with Bnei Yehuda.
Form. Maccabi Bney Reine have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W W. Hapoel Rishon Lezion FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Maccabi Bney Reine score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Maccabi Bney Reine average 11.0 shots (4.4 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Hapoel Rishon Lezion FC score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Hapoel Rishon Lezion FC average 12.8 shots (6.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Maccabi Bney Reine have won two, drawn one and lost none. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 12 Dec 2022, it finished Maccabi Bney Reine 3-0 Hapoel Rishon Lezion FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Hapoel Rishon Lezion FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Maccabi Bney Reine: in the last three meetings, Maccabi Bney Reine won two and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Maccabi Bney Reine or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Hapoel Rishon Lezion FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Maccabi Bney Reine or Hapoel Rishon Lezion FC (no result call). Predicted score: Maccabi Bney Reine 1-1 Hapoel Rishon Lezion FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).