Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 2. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Mara Sugar FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. Mombasa United FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W.
The numbers. Mara Sugar FC score 0.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mara Sugar FC average 8.8 shots (2.8 on target), 2.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Mombasa United FC score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mombasa United FC average 13.6 shots (4.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 95% on the records (Mara Sugar FC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Mombasa United FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Mombasa United FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 9.5 Corners (the signs point different ways); Mombasa United FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: Mara Sugar FC 0-0 Mombasa United FC (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).