Match details. Torneo Federal A, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 20:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Modesto Marrone, Monte Maiz.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CD Argentino Monte Maiz have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. AC San Martin de Mendoza have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L.
The numbers. CD Argentino Monte Maiz score one and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Argentino Monte Maiz average 10.2 shots (3.3 on target), 4.7 corners and 0.8 cards a game. AC San Martin de Mendoza score 0.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. AC San Martin de Mendoza average 14.0 shots (6.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CD Argentino Monte Maiz the likelier winners, but AC San Martin de Mendoza are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.15, 76% on the records (CD Argentino Monte Maiz: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10; AC San Martin de Mendoza: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: AC San Martin de Mendoza or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Argentino Monte Maiz 1-1 AC San Martin de Mendoza (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).