Match details. 3. Lig. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Gaziemir Gog Sy have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. Alanya Kestelspor have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L.
The numbers. Gaziemir Gog Sy score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Gaziemir Gog Sy average 4.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Alanya Kestelspor score 0.7 and concede two a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Alanya Kestelspor average 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The case against. Alanya Kestelspor's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. Gaziemir Gog Sy to win. Their goals for and against make Gaziemir Gog Sy the likelier winners; Gaziemir Gog Sy are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gaziemir Gog Sy.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Gaziemir Gog Sy 1-0 Alanya Kestelspor (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).