Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. UD Sanse have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Rayo Vallecano B have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. UD Sanse score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. UD Sanse average 3.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Rayo Vallecano B score 0.6 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Rayo Vallecano B average 4.7 corners and 3.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make UD Sanse the likelier winners, but Rayo Vallecano B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UD Sanse.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24, 82% on the records (UD Sanse: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Rayo Vallecano B: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5). Leave: UD Sanse or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Rayo Vallecano B or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: UD Sanse 2-1 Rayo Vallecano B (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).