Match details. 1. Liga, Women. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Unia Lublin have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L L. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W L D.
The numbers. Unia Lublin score 1.3 and concede 3.5 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Unia Lublin average 7.3 shots (3.9 on target), 2.9 corners and 0.9 cards a game. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska average 6.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The read. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska the likelier winners; Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska at 1.09, rated 83% (Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Unia Lublin failed to win 5 of 6 at home). Backup: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.32. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Unia Lublin 1-2 Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska (9% chance).
The agreed story. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska in their last cup games: won 3-2 v Sandecja Nowy Sacz (a division above). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).