DENMARK AMATEUR - DANMARKSSERIEN
12:00Sun 18 Oct
FCN
FN
BK Avarta vs FC Nakskov
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Danmarksserien. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. BK Avarta have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L. FC Nakskov have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.
The numbers. BK Avarta score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Nakskov score 1.8 and concede 2.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets.
The case against. FC Nakskov's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. BK Avarta to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make BK Avarta the likelier winners; BK Avarta are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour BK Avarta. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: BK Avarta or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); BK Avarta Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: BK Avarta 2-1 FC Nakskov (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
BK Avarta or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
BKA 8 of 9 (89%) · FCN 10 of 10 (100%)94.4%
BK Avarta: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Nakskov: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · BK Avarta: only games against sides at FC Nakskov's level · FC Nakskov: only games against sides at BK Avarta's level
BK Avarta or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BKA 8 of 9 (89%) · FCN 10 of 10 (100%)94.4%
BK Avarta: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Nakskov: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · BK Avarta: only games against sides at FC Nakskov's level · FC Nakskov: only games against sides at BK Avarta's level
BK Avarta (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.23
BKA 4 of 8 (50%) · FCN 7 of 9 (78%)66%
BK Avarta won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · FC Nakskov lost 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 64% · BK Avarta: only games against sides at FC Nakskov's level · FC Nakskov: only games against sides at BK Avarta's level · won 5, refunded 1, lost 3
BK Avarta or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BKA 4 of 9 (44%) · FCN 8 of 10 (80%)62.2%
BK Avarta: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Nakskov: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · BK Avarta: only games against sides at FC Nakskov's level · FC Nakskov: only games against sides at BK Avarta's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BKA 9 of 9 (100%) · FCN 10 of 10 (100%)93.7%
BK Avarta: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Nakskov: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · BK Avarta: only games against sides at FC Nakskov's level · FC Nakskov: only games against sides at BK Avarta's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BKA 7 of 9 (78%) · FCN 10 of 10 (100%)78.4%
BK Avarta: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Nakskov: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · BK Avarta: only games against sides at FC Nakskov's level · FC Nakskov: only games against sides at BK Avarta's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BKA 6 of 9 (67%) · FCN 10 of 10 (100%)54.4%
BK Avarta: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Nakskov: over 2.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · BK Avarta: only games against sides at FC Nakskov's level · FC Nakskov: only games against sides at BK Avarta's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BKA 6 of 9 (67%) · FCN 10 of 10 (100%)56.7%
BK Avarta: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Nakskov: both scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · BK Avarta: only games against sides at FC Nakskov's level · FC Nakskov: only games against sides at BK Avarta's level
BK AVARTA GOALS
BK Avarta Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BKA 8 of 9 (89%) · FCN 10 of 10 (100%)81.7%
BK Avarta scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Nakskov conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · BK Avarta: only games against sides at FC Nakskov's level · FC Nakskov: only games against sides at BK Avarta's level
BK Avarta Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BKA 5 of 9 (56%) · FCN 9 of 10 (90%)50.6%
BK Avarta scored over 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Nakskov conceded over 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · BK Avarta: only games against sides at FC Nakskov's level · FC Nakskov: only games against sides at BK Avarta's level
FC NAKSKOV GOALS
FC Nakskov Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BKA 10 of 10 (100%) · FCN 7 of 9 (78%)68.6%
FC Nakskov scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · BK Avarta conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · FC Nakskov: only games against sides at BK Avarta's level · BK Avarta: only games against sides at FC Nakskov's level
Left off the list: BK Avarta or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (72%) and the records (94%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); BK Avarta Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (40%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.6%
BK Avarta goals →
FC Nakskov goals ↓
0-06%
1-09%
2-08%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
BK AVARTADLWLLWLLWW1.30 PPG
FC NAKSKOVLLLWLLWLLD0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BK AVARTA HOMExFC NAKSKOV AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.801.50CONCEDED A GAME2.7060%BOTH SCORED100%20%CLEAN SHEETS0%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.56POINTS A GAME0.78+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.89–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES9
BK Avarta: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
BK AVARTA 2:0 HANDICAP
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389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 85/90
BK AVARTA OR DRAW
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
FC NAKSKOV OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BK AVARTAxFC NAKSKOV
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.601.80CONCEDED A GAME2.603.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%80%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
BK Avarta have scored in 80% of their games.
FC Nakskov have scored in 100% of their games.
BK Avarta kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
FC Nakskov kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table