Union Rochefortoise vs Gent
Match details. Beker van Belgie. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
Form. Union Rochefortoise have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. Gent have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Union Rochefortoise score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Union Rochefortoise average 9.5 shots (6.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Gent score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Gent average 10.4 shots (4.4 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 92% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Gent are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Gent the likelier winners; Gent are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gent. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Union Rochefortoise 1-2 Gent (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).