Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Southwest University Park. The referee is C. Radosav.
Form. El Paso Locomotive FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. New Mexico United have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. El Paso Locomotive FC score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. El Paso Locomotive FC average 4.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. New Mexico United score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. New Mexico United average 3.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.56, 72% on the records (El Paso Locomotive FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; New Mexico United: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: New Mexico United Over 0.5 goals (New Mexico United's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive FC 1-1 New Mexico United (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.20
ELP 4 of 5 (80%) · NEW 4 of 5 (80%)90.2%
El Paso Locomotive FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · New Mexico United: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · El Paso Locomotive FC: only games against sides at New Mexico United's level · New Mexico United: only games against sides at El Paso Locomotive FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.56
ELP 4 of 5 (80%) · NEW 4 of 5 (80%)79.2%
El Paso Locomotive FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · New Mexico United: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · El Paso Locomotive FC: only games against sides at New Mexico United's level · New Mexico United: only games against sides at El Paso Locomotive FC's level
EL PASO LOCOMOTIVE FC GOALS
El Paso Locomotive FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.13
ELP 4 of 5 (80%) · NEW 4 of 5 (80%)70.8%
El Paso Locomotive FC scored in 4 of 5 at home · New Mexico United conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · El Paso Locomotive FC: only games against sides at New Mexico United's level · New Mexico United: only games against sides at El Paso Locomotive FC's level
Left off the list: New Mexico United Over 0.5 goals (New Mexico United's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.9%
El Paso Locomotive FC goals →
New Mexico United goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
EL PASO LOCOMOTIVE FCLWLDWWWWWW2.20 PPG
NEW MEXICO UNITEDLWWLLDDDWL1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
EL PASO LOCOMOTIVE FC HOMExNEW MEXICO UNITED AWAY
1.66SCORED A GAME1.521.28CONCEDED A GAME1.1720%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.28CORNERS A GAME3.932.28CARDS A GAME2.79
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.12POINTS A GAME1.82+0.69GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.59-1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.61.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.216LEAGUE GAMES17
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
EL PASO LOCOMOTIVE FC OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
NEW MEXICO UNITED OR DRAW
48%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (16 and 17 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
EL PASO LOCOMOTIVE FCxNEW MEXICO UNITED
8GAMES81.62SCORED A GAME1.880.62CONCEDED A GAME1.252.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.162%OVER 1.5 GOALS50%38%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%50%BOTH SCORE50%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.010.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
El Paso Locomotive FC have scored in 90% of their games.
New Mexico United have scored in 70% of their games.
El Paso Locomotive FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
New Mexico United kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards