Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City. The referee is Ricardo Fierro.
What's at stake. Sporting Kansas City are 15th on 22 points after 30 games, 9 points behind Austin. Austin FC are 14th on 31 points after 30 games, 3 points behind Minnesota United FC, 9 points clear of Sporting Kansas City. A win would take them level on points with Minnesota United FC. Sporting Kansas City have nothing left to play for. Austin FC have nothing left to play for.
Team news. Sporting Kansas City are without O. Blorian (chest injury), Diego Borges (groin injury), M. Mosquera (hamstring injury), J. Reynolds (muscle injury), L. Johnsen (hamstring injury), S. Reid (hamstring injury). Austin FC are without J. Bell (abdominal strain), Z. Kolmanic (thigh injury), J. Bell (abdominal strain), Z. Kolmanic (thigh injury).
Form. Sporting Kansas City have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition Sporting Kansas City have gone L L D L W L. Austin FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D. In this competition Austin FC have gone L L L D D W.
The numbers. Sporting Kansas City score two and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Sporting Kansas City average 14.8 shots (6.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Austin FC score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Austin FC average 10.8 shots (3.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Sporting Kansas City have won three, drawn none and lost five. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Sporting Kansas City won two and Austin FC won two. The last time they met, on 17 May 2026, it finished Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Austin FC: Sporting Kansas City had 20 shots to 8, 54% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The case against. Austin FC's record still gives them 48% to win.
The read. Sporting Kansas City or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Austin FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Austin FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Austin FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).