Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston. The referee is Tori Penso.
What's at stake. Houston Dynamo are 5th on 47 points after 30 games, 1 point behind San Jose Earthquakes, 1 point clear of Los Angeles FC. A win would take them above San Jose Earthquakes. Minnesota United FC are 13th on 34 points after 30 games, level on points with San Diego, 3 points clear of Austin. A win would take them above San Diego. Minnesota United FC have nothing left to play for, while Houston Dynamo need the win.
Team news. Houston Dynamo are without Felipe Andrade (injury), J. Maurer (concussion), A. Resch (yellow cards), Felipe Andrade (injury), J. Maurer (concussion), A. Resch (yellow cards). Felipe Andrade is their centre-back. A. Resch is their centre-back. Minnesota United FC are without A. Smir (knee injury), P. Stroud (muscle injury), W. Trapp (concussion), A. Smir (knee injury), P. Stroud (muscle injury), W. Trapp (concussion).
Form. Houston Dynamo have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L D. In this competition Houston Dynamo have gone D D D L D L. Minnesota United FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L. In this competition Minnesota United FC have gone W D D L L L.
The numbers. Houston Dynamo score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Houston Dynamo average 13.1 shots (4.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Minnesota United FC score 2.8 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Minnesota United FC average 14.8 shots (4.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Houston Dynamo have won three, drawn two and lost five. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Houston Dynamo won one, two were drawn and Minnesota United FC won one. The last time they met, on 11 Oct 2026, it finished Houston Dynamo 2-2 Minnesota United FC: Houston Dynamo had 15 shots to 15, 54% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. Houston Dynamo without Felipe Andrade (centre-back), A. Resch (centre-back). Minnesota United FC's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Houston Dynamo or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Houston Dynamo the likelier winners; Houston Dynamo are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Houston Dynamo or Draw at 1.37, 71% on the records (Houston Dynamo unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Minnesota United FC failed to win 4 of 5 away). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18 (79%). Full cover: Minnesota United FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.30. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Minnesota United FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).