Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura - 14. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Tepatitlan FC are 16th on 7 points after 13 games, 7 points behind Cruz Azul Hidalgo. Cancun FC are 7th on 19 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Durango, 1 point clear of Mineros de Zacatecas. A win would take them above Durango.
Form. Tepatitlan FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L. Cancun FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W.
The numbers. Tepatitlan FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Tepatitlan FC average 4.2 corners and 3.4 cards a game. Cancun FC score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Cancun FC average 4.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Tepatitlan FC have won three, drawn three and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, two were drawn and Cancun FC won two. The last time they met, on 29 Mar 2026, it finished Tepatitlan FC 2-2 Cancun FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 63% against the records' 41%.
The read. No firm call: Cancun FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cancun FC the likelier winners; Cancun FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Cancun FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 76% on the records (Tepatitlan FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Cancun FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Cancun FC win or both teams score at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Tepatitlan FC Under 1.5 goals (Cancun FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Cancun FC Over 1.5 goals (Cancun FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Tepatitlan FC 1-2 Cancun FC (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Cancun FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TEP 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Cancun FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level
Cancun FC win or both teams scoreBACKUPIN CODES
1.09
TEP 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 5 of 5 (100%)96.3%
Cancun FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level
Cancun FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
TEP 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%
Cancun FC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 away · Tepatitlan FC trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level
Cancun FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.20
TEP 4 of 5 (80%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)84.3%
Cancun FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Cancun FCIN CODES
1.18
TEP 4 of 5 (80%) · CAN 3 of 5 (60%)76.5%
Cancun FC unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Tepatitlan FC failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level
Cancun FC (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.24
TEP 4 of 6 (67%) · CAN 7 of 9 (78%)72.6%
Cancun FC won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Tepatitlan FC lost 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 3 of 4 · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · won 3, refunded 4, lost 3
Cancun FC to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.30
TEP 3 of 5 (60%) · CAN 3 of 5 (60%)70.8%
Cancun FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level
Cancun FC or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
TEP 2 of 5 (40%) · CAN 3 of 5 (60%)65.7%
Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 5 of 6 · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level
Cancun FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.72
TEP 1 of 5 (20%) · CAN 2 of 5 (40%)53.9%
Cancun FC won 1 of 5 away · Tepatitlan FC lost 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 55% · H2H 3 of 6 · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level
Cancun FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TEP 3 of 5 (60%) · CAN 3 of 5 (60%)53.3%
Cancun FC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 away · Tepatitlan FC trailed in 2 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TEP 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%
Tepatitlan FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.16
TEP 4 of 5 (80%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)79.3%
Tepatitlan FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6 · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.60
TEP 3 of 5 (60%) · CAN 3 of 5 (60%)57.5%
Tepatitlan FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 6 · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level
CANCUN FC GOALS
Cancun FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.10
TEP 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 5 of 5 (100%)82.1%
Cancun FC scored in 5 of 5 away · Tepatitlan FC conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.15
TEP 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)89.6%
Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level
2nd Half - Cancun FC Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.38
TEP 3 of 5 (60%) · CAN 5 of 5 (100%)77.9%
Cancun FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Tepatitlan FC Under 1.5 goals (Cancun FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Cancun FC Over 1.5 goals (Cancun FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.4%
Tepatitlan FC goals →
Cancun FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.7%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.5%
1-50.6%
2-50.4%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
TEPATITLAN FCLLDWLLLLWL0.70 PPG
CANCUN FCDDWLWDDWLW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
TEPATITLAN FC HOMExCANCUN FC AWAY
0.77SCORED A GAME1.692.85CONCEDED A GAME1.380%CLEAN SHEETS40%54%FAILED TO SCORE8%4.23CORNERS A GAME4.233.38CARDS A GAME2.77
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.33POINTS A GAME1.46-2.42GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.31-10.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.20.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.612LEAGUE GAMES13
Cancun FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
CANCUN FC 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 85/90
TEPATITLAN FC OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
CANCUN FC OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TEPATITLAN FCxCANCUN FC
6GAMES60.83SCORED A GAME1.332.33CONCEDED A GAME2.173.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.567%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%50%BOTH SCORE83%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
TEPATITLAN FC 3 · 30%DRAW 3CANCUN FC 4 · 40%
6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-02-08Tepatitlan FC 1 – 2 Cancun FC
2022-04-22Tepatitlan FC 2 – 2 Cancun FC
2022-10-12Tepatitlan FC 2 – 1 Cancun FC
2023-03-21Tepatitlan FC 1 – 0 Cancun FC
2023-08-30Tepatitlan FC 3 – 0 Cancun FC
2024-03-19Tepatitlan FC 0 – 2 Cancun FC
2024-08-03Tepatitlan FC 0 – 2 Cancun FC
2025-01-18Tepatitlan FC 1 – 1 Cancun FC
TRENDS
Tepatitlan FC have scored in 50% of their games.
Cancun FC have scored in 100% of their games.
Tepatitlan FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Cancun FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards