Atletico San Luis vs Queretaro FC
Atletico San Luis scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Queretaro FC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 2 of 6 · Atletico San Luis: only games against sides at Queretaro FC's level · Queretaro FC: only games against sides at Atletico San Luis's level
Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 13. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Libertad Financiera, San Luis de Potosi. The referee is Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez.
What's at stake. Atletico San Luis are 15th on 13 points after 12 games, level on points with CF Pachuca, 2 points clear of Atlante FC. A win would take them above CF Pachuca. Queretaro FC are 6th on 20 points after 11 games, level on points with Cruz Azul, 2 points clear of Leon. A win would take them above Cruz Azul.
Form. Atletico San Luis have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L. In this competition Atletico San Luis have gone D L W W L L. Queretaro FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. In this competition Queretaro FC have gone L W W D W W.
The numbers. Atletico San Luis score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Atletico San Luis average 12.9 shots (4.6 on target), 2.4 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Queretaro FC score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Queretaro FC average 13.1 shots (3.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 39% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Atletico San Luis have won four, drawn one and lost four. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Atletico San Luis won two and Queretaro FC won two. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2026, it finished Atletico San Luis 3-0 Queretaro FC: Atletico San Luis had 10 shots to 15, 58% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Atletico San Luis's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Queretaro FC to win. An open game. Queretaro FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Queretaro FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, 75% on the records (Atletico San Luis: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Queretaro FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away). Backup: Queretaro FC or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.45. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Queretaro FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Atletico San Luis Over 0.5 goals (Queretaro FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Queretaro FC 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Atletico San Luis 1-2 Queretaro FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).