Match details. 3. Division, Group 5. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
Form. IL Ulfstind have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. Lillestrom SK 2 have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L.
The numbers. IL Ulfstind score 1.6 and concede 3.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. IL Ulfstind average 3.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Lillestrom SK 2 score 1.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Lillestrom SK 2 average 5.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 49%.
The read. No firm call: Lillestrom SK 2 are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Lillestrom SK 2 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lillestrom SK 2. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Lillestrom SK 2 or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); IL Ulfstind Under 1.5 goals (Lillestrom SK 2's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: IL Ulfstind 2-1 Lillestrom SK 2 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).