Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island FC
Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Trinity Health Stadium. The referee is A. Ndiaye.
What's at stake. Hartford Athletic are 7th on 40 points after 29 games, 2 points behind Pittsburgh Riverhounds, 4 points clear of Miami FC. A win would take them above Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Rhode Island FC are 5th on 42 points after 29 games, 4 points behind Louisville City, level on points with Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
Form. Hartford Athletic have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D D. In this competition Hartford Athletic have gone L D L D D W. Rhode Island FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. In this competition Rhode Island FC have gone D W L W W L.
The numbers. Hartford Athletic score 2.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Rhode Island FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Hartford Athletic have won one, drawn two and lost three. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Hartford Athletic won one, one was drawn and Rhode Island FC won two. The last time they met, on 18 Jul 2026, it finished Hartford Athletic 0-1 Rhode Island FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Hartford Athletic are the form side, but the meetings favour Rhode Island FC: in the last six meetings, Hartford Athletic won one, Rhode Island FC won three and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Rhode Island FC Over 0.5 goals (Rhode Island FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Hartford Athletic 1-1 Rhode Island FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).