Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Atlanta Stadium. The referee is Victor Rivas.
What's at stake. Atlanta United FC are 14th on 30 points after 30 games, 3 points behind DC United, 5 points clear of CF Montreal. A win would take them level on points with DC United. Chicago Fire are 4th on 48 points after 30 games, 4 points behind New England Revolution, 1 point clear of Charlotte. Atlanta United FC have nothing left to play for.
Team news. Atlanta United FC are without D. Chica (knee injury), W. Reilly (ankle injury), D. Chica (knee injury), W. Reilly (ankle injury). Chicago Fire are without J. Elliott (yellow cards), A. Franco (knee injury), R. Lod (lower-body injury), S. Rogers (lower-body injury), J. Elliott (yellow cards), A. Franco (knee injury). J. Elliott is their centre-back.
Form. Atlanta United FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition Atlanta United FC have gone L W L D W D. Chicago Fire have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. In this competition Chicago Fire have gone L L W W W L.
The numbers. Atlanta United FC score 1.3 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Atlanta United FC average 14.9 shots (4.1 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Chicago Fire score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Chicago Fire average 15.4 shots (5.0 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Atlanta United FC have won three, drawn four and lost three. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and Chicago Fire won two. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished Atlanta United FC 0-1 Chicago Fire: Atlanta United FC had 20 shots to 18, 55% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Atlanta United FC's record still gives them 27% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Chicago Fire or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Chicago Fire are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 75% on the records (Atlanta United FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; Chicago Fire: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Chicago Fire or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Chicago Fire or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Chicago Fire or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Atlanta United FC 1-2 Chicago Fire (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).