Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 13. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 04:10 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio TSM Corona, Torreon.
What's at stake. Club Santos Laguna are 9th on 16 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Monterrey, level on points with Club Tijuana. A win would take them above Monterrey. Pumas UNAM are 11th on 16 points after 12 games, level on points with Club Tijuana, level on points with Puebla. A win would take them above Club Tijuana.
Form. Club Santos Laguna have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Club Santos Laguna have gone W W W W W L. Pumas UNAM have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L. In this competition Pumas UNAM have gone W D L D L W.
The numbers. Club Santos Laguna score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Club Santos Laguna average 16.1 shots (5.6 on target), 7.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Pumas UNAM score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Pumas UNAM average 12.8 shots (4.4 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Santos Laguna have won six, drawn one and lost three. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Club Santos Laguna won one, one was drawn and Pumas UNAM won two. The last time they met, on 31 Jan 2026, it finished Club Santos Laguna 0-4 Pumas UNAM: Club Santos Laguna had 10 shots to 8, 48% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Pumas UNAM's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Club Santos Laguna to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Club Santos Laguna the likelier winners; Club Santos Laguna are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Pumas UNAM Over 0.5 goals (Club Santos Laguna's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Club Santos Laguna 2-1 Pumas UNAM (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).