CD Guadalajara vs Club Necaxa
Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 13. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 01:07 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Akron, Guadalajara. The referee is Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce.
What's at stake. CD Guadalajara are 4th on 20 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Atlas, level on points with Cruz Azul. A win would take them above Atlas. Club Necaxa are 17th on 9 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Atlante FC, 5 points clear of FC Juarez. A win would take them above Atlante FC.
Team news. L. Romo is their centre-back. CD Guadalajara's line-up is confirmed. L. Jiménez is their first-choice keeper. J. Carranza is their top scorer. J. Carranza is their main creator. R. Martínez is their centre-back. Club Necaxa's line-up is confirmed.
Form. CD Guadalajara have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W. In this competition CD Guadalajara have gone D D L D W W. Club Necaxa have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. In this competition Club Necaxa have gone L D L L L D.
The numbers. CD Guadalajara score 1.8 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. CD Guadalajara average 14.6 shots (5.1 on target), 6.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. Club Necaxa score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Club Necaxa average 14.4 shots (4.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings CD Guadalajara have won six, drawn one and lost two. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CD Guadalajara won two, one was drawn and Club Necaxa won one. The last time they met, on 23 Apr 2026, it finished CD Guadalajara 0-0 Club Necaxa: CD Guadalajara had 20 shots to 8, 58% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 74% against the records' 46%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: CD Guadalajara are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make CD Guadalajara the likelier winners; CD Guadalajara are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Guadalajara; the meetings favour CD Guadalajara.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: CD Guadalajara Over 1.5 goals (CD Guadalajara's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (CD Guadalajara are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (CD Guadalajara are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CD Guadalajara 2-0 Club Necaxa (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).