Sevilla vs Osasuna
Match details. Sevilla host Osasuna at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville in LaLiga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Sevilla are 6th on 14 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Real Sociedad and 2 points clear of Alaves. A win would take them above Real Sociedad. Osasuna sit 11th on 11 points after 9 games, level on points with Deportivo La Coruna and Racing Santander. A win would take them above Deportivo La Coruna.
Team news. Sevilla are without J. Guridi, Marcao, I. Munoz, M. Sierra and L. Stassin through injury. Osasuna also have players ruled out, with A. Bonel, R. Del Castillo, J. Herrando and A. Oroz all missing.
Form. Sevilla have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, averaging 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first, read L D L W W. Osasuna have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, taking 1.1 points a game. Their last five are W L D L L.
The numbers. Sevilla score 1.4 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. They average 9.8 shots (4.2 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.3 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. Osasuna score 1.2 and concede 3.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Osasuna average 9.5 shots (4.2 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 46% possession.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Sevilla have won one, drawn four and lost four. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Sevilla won one, one was drawn and Osasuna won two. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Sevilla 1-2 Osasuna: Sevilla had 8 shots to 15, 39% of the ball, and four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways for me. Their goals for and against make Sevilla the likelier winners, and Sevilla are the stronger side on form and the table. However, the meetings favour Osasuna.
The case against. Osasuna's record still gives them 31% to win, but the meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals, with their records putting over 2.5 goals at 49%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Sevilla or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sevilla the likelier winners; Sevilla are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Osasuna.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sevilla or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Sevilla 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Sevilla 2-1 Osasuna (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).