Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. The referee is Alberto Ruben Arena.
What's at stake. Lazio are 2nd on 19 points after 7 games, level on points with Inter, 2 points clear of AS Roma. A win would take them above Inter. Parma Calcio are 19th on 4 points after 7 games, level on points with Fiorentina, 1 point clear of Venezia. A win would take them above Fiorentina.
Team news. Lazio are without A. Furlanetto (knee injury), A. Gudmundsson (shoulder injury), A. Marusic (muscle injury), N. Rovella (calf injury), A. Furlanetto (knee injury), A. Gudmundsson (shoulder injury). Lazio's line-up is confirmed. Parma Calcio are without P. Almqvist (calf injury), N. Elphege (illness), H. Nicolussi Caviglia (thigh injury), L. Valenti (coach's decision), P. Almqvist (calf injury), N. Elphege (illness). S. Lontani is their top scorer. Parma Calcio's line-up is confirmed.
Form. Lazio have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. Parma Calcio have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D.
The numbers. Lazio score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Lazio average 13.0 shots (4.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Parma Calcio score 0.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Parma Calcio average 10.6 shots (4.0 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Lazio have won seven, drawn two and lost one. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Lazio won one, two were drawn and Parma Calcio won one. The last time they met, on 4 Apr 2026, it finished Lazio 1-1 Parma Calcio: Lazio had 7 shots to 7, 61% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Lazio to win. Their goals for and against make Lazio the likelier winners; Lazio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lazio; the meetings favour Lazio.
The bets. Best bet: Lazio to win at 1.51, 88% on the records (the tipsters read Lazio as a clear winner (4 scores) and Lazio are 2.1 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Lazio are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Lazio are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Lazio 2-0 Parma Calcio (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).