Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio El Sardinero, Santander.
What's at stake. Racing Santander are 16th on 8 points after 9 games, level on points with Getafe, 1 point clear of Levante. A win would take them above Getafe. Espanyol are 13th on 8 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Villarreal, level on points with Rayo Vallecano. A win would take them above Villarreal.
Form. Racing Santander have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. Espanyol have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W.
The numbers. Racing Santander score 2.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Racing Santander average 10.8 shots (4.9 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Espanyol score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Espanyol average 11.3 shots (4.3 on target), 2.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Racing Santander have won two, drawn one and lost three. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Racing Santander won one and Espanyol won three. The last time they met, on 10 Feb 2024, it finished Racing Santander 2-0 Espanyol: Racing Santander had 10 shots to 10, 38% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Espanyol's record still gives them 39% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Racing Santander or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Espanyol are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 76% on the records (Racing Santander: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6; Espanyol: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Racing Santander Over 0.5 Goals at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Racing Santander 2-1 Espanyol (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).