Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF
Match details. Rayo Vallecano host Elche CF in LaLiga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is set for Sat 24 Oct at 13:00 Lagos time. The game takes place at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid.
What's at stake. Rayo Vallecano are 14th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with Espanyol and Getafe. A win would take them above Espanyol. Elche CF sit 18th on 7 points after 9 games, level with Levante and 1 point clear of Valencia. A win takes Elche above Levante.
Form. Rayo Vallecano have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, averaging 1.2 points a game. Their last five read D D W L W. Elche CF have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, picking up 0.8 points a game. Their last five are D D W L D.
The numbers. Rayo Vallecano score 1.4 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. They average 11.2 shots (4.8 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.2 cards a game with 49% of the ball. Elche CF score 1.3 and concede 1.2 in their last six away with one clean sheet, averaging 8.4 shots (3.7 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.8 cards with 50% possession.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won four, drawn two and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. Across the last four, Rayo won two and Elche won two. Their last meeting on 3 Apr 2026 ended Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Elche CF, with Rayo having 21 shots to 9, 60% possession and four yellow cards.
The case against. Elche CF's record still gives them a 26% chance to win. Not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%, and six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Rayo Vallecano to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Rayo Vallecano the likelier winners; Rayo Vallecano are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.39, 72% on the records (Rayo Vallecano: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6; Elche CF: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). The safer one: Rayo Vallecano or Draw at 1.22 (73%). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Elche CF (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).