ALAALA

20:00Fri 23 Oct

MAL

Alaves vs Malaga CF

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio de Mendizorroza, Victoria-Gasteiz. The referee is Carlos Muñiz Muñoz.

What's at stake. Alaves are 7th on 11 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Sevilla, level on points with Celta Vigo. A win would take them level on points with Sevilla. Malaga CF are 20th on 4 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Valencia. A win would take them above Valencia.

Team news. Alaves are without F. Garces (suspended), M. Rodriguez (ankle injury), F. Garces (suspended), M. Rodriguez (ankle injury). Malaga CF are without J. Cruz (muscle injury), J. Lobete (knee injury), P. Martinez (foot injury), J. Munoz (calf injury), D. Murillo (knee injury), A. Ochoa (knee injury).

Form. Alaves have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. In this competition Alaves have gone L L D L L W. Malaga CF have won none, drawn four and lost five of their last nine, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. In this competition Malaga CF have gone L D L L D D.

The numbers. Alaves score two and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Alaves average 12.1 shots (4.4 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. Malaga CF score 0.7 and concede two a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Malaga CF average 12.1 shots (3.2 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last six meetings Alaves have won four, drawn one and lost one. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Alaves won three and Malaga CF won one. The last time they met, on 20 May 2023, it finished Alaves 2-1 Malaga CF: Alaves had 15 shots to 15, 45% of the ball, six yellow cards.

The read. Alaves to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Alaves the likelier winners; Alaves are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Alaves. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Alaves 1-0 Malaga CF (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Alaves or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.13

ALA 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 9 of 9 (100%)95.4%

Alaves: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Malaga CF: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

Double Chance: Alaves or DrawIN CODES

1.19

ALA 3 of 5 (60%) · MAL 9 of 9 (100%)89.2%

Alaves unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · Malaga CF failed to win 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

Alaves (Draw No Bet)IN CODES

1.30

ALA 3 of 5 (60%) · MAL 5 of 5 (100%)85.6%

Alaves won 3 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Malaga CF lost 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 5 · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level · won 6, refunded 1, lost 2

Alaves or draw and under 3.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.54

ALA 2 of 5 (40%) · MAL 6 of 9 (67%)80.7%

Alaves: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Malaga CF: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 5 of 6 · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

2nd Half - Double Chance: Alaves or Malaga CFPAGE ONLY

1.48

ALA 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 7 of 9 (78%)78.3%

Alaves: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Malaga CF: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

Alaves or draw and under 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.05

ALA 1 of 5 (20%) · MAL 6 of 9 (67%)65%

Alaves: the bet landed in 1 of 5 at home · Malaga CF: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 2 of 6 · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

Alaves to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.79

ALA 3 of 5 (60%) · MAL 5 of 9 (56%)57.8%

Alaves won 3 of 5 at home · Malaga CF lost 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · H2H 4 of 6 · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

Alaves win and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.30

ALA 2 of 5 (40%) · MAL 2 of 9 (22%)50.1%

Alaves: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Malaga CF: the bet landed in 2 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 22% · H2H 4 of 6 · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

ALA 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 8 of 9 (89%)93.5%

Alaves: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Malaga CF: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.30

ALA 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 6 of 9 (67%)86.2%

Alaves: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Malaga CF: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 6 of 6 · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.81

ALA 2 of 5 (40%) · MAL 6 of 9 (67%)69%

Alaves: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Malaga CF: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 3 of 6 · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

ALAVES GOALS

Alaves Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.20

ALA 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 8 of 9 (89%)71.8%

Alaves scored in 4 of 5 at home · Malaga CF conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 6 · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

MALAGA CF GOALS

Malaga CF Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.24

ALA 8 of 9 (89%) · MAL 3 of 5 (60%)87.2%

Malaga CF scored under 1.5 in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Alaves conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · H2H 6 of 6 · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.30

ALA 4 of 5 (80%) · MAL 7 of 9 (78%)83.9%

Alaves: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Malaga CF: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

CORNERS

Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALA 5 of 8 (62%) · MAL 7 of 8 (88%)75%

Alaves's games: over 6.5 corners in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Malaga CF's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALA 8 of 8 (100%) · MAL 8 of 8 (100%)98.2%

Alaves's games: over 1.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Malaga CF's games: over 1.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Alaves: only games against sides at Malaga CF's level · Malaga CF: only games against sides at Alaves's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.1%

Alaves goals →

Malaga CF goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-010%

3-06%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 9

ALAVESWDWWLLDLL1.22 PPG

MALAGA CFLDLDDLLDL0.44 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ALAVES HOMExMALAGA CF AWAY

1.44SCORED A GAME0.671.11CONCEDED A GAME2.0033%CLEAN SHEETS11%22%FAILED TO SCORE44%3.62CORNERS A GAME6.121.75CARDS A GAME2.381.18xG0.941.34xG AGAINST1.78

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.29POINTS A GAME0.44+0.43GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.33+2.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.10.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.47LEAGUE GAMES9

Alaves: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

ALAVES 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

89%

OKAY · 85/90

ALAVES OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

MALAGA CF OR DRAW

32%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ALAVESxMALAGA CF

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME2.203.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE80%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.07.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6

ALAVES 4 · 67%DRAW 1MALAGA CF 1 · 17%

3 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS

2016-10-16Alaves 1 – 1 Malaga CF

2017-03-11Alaves 2 – 1 Malaga CF

2017-12-21Alaves 1 – 0 Malaga CF

2018-05-06Alaves 3 – 0 Malaga CF

2022-12-18Alaves 0 – 1 Malaga CF

2023-05-20Alaves 2 – 1 Malaga CF

TEAM NEWS

ALAVES

Out: F. Garces (Suspended), M. Rodriguez (Ankle Injury), F. Garces (Suspended), M. Rodriguez (Ankle Injury)

MALAGA CF

Out: J. Cruz (Muscle Injury), J. Lobete (Knee Injury), P. Martinez (Foot Injury), J. Munoz (Calf Injury), D. Murillo (Knee Injury), A. Ochoa (Knee Injury)

TRENDS

Alaves have scored in 80% of their games.

Malaga CF have scored in 60% of their games.

Alaves failed to score in 22% of their games.

Malaga CF failed to score in 44% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards