NCNOT

19:45Tue 20 Oct

SHE

Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday

CLASS E

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THE BETSTRONG · NOT IN CODES

TEAM GOALS

Class E

NCv

Notts County Under 1.5 goals

Notts County v Sheffield Wednesday

England - League One · 19:45

1.47odds

68%book

+14edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. League One, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Meadow Lane, Nottingham.

Form. Notts County have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. Sheffield Wednesday have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D.

The numbers. Notts County score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Notts County average 3.5 shots (1.5 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Sheffield Wednesday score 2.2 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sheffield Wednesday average 8.9 shots (3.9 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.

The read. Sheffield Wednesday to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Sheffield Wednesday are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sheffield Wednesday. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The bets. Best bet: Notts County Under 1.5 Goals at 1.48, 64% on the records (Notts County scored under 1.5 in 6 of 8; Sheffield Wednesday conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7). Backup: Sheffield Wednesday or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.28. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Sheffield Wednesday are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Sheffield Wednesday are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Notts County 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Sheffield Wednesday or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.28

NOT 6 of 7 (86%) · SHE 6 of 8 (75%)90.2%

Sheffield Wednesday: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Sheffield Wednesday: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Sheffield Wednesday's level

NOTTS COUNTY GOALS

Notts County Under 1.5 goalsMAINPAGE ONLY

1.47

NOT 6 of 8 (75%) · SHE 5 of 7 (71%)81.9%

Notts County scored under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sheffield Wednesday conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Notts County: only games against sides at Sheffield Wednesday's level · Sheffield Wednesday: only games against sides at Notts County's level

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY GOALS

Sheffield Wednesday Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.22

NOT 5 of 7 (71%) · SHE 8 of 8 (100%)68.5%

Sheffield Wednesday scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Sheffield Wednesday: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Sheffield Wednesday's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Sheffield Wednesday are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Sheffield Wednesday are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Sheffield Wednesday are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Sheffield Wednesday are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.1%

Notts County goals →

Sheffield Wednesday goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

NOTTS COUNTYLWLWLLDDWD1.20 PPG

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAYWDWWDDWWWL2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NOTTS COUNTY HOMExSHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY AWAY

0.89SCORED A GAME2.221.44CONCEDED A GAME0.890%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.33CORNERS A GAME6.332.20CARDS A GAME1.89

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.78POINTS A GAME2.00-0.56GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.33-1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.00.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.89LEAGUE GAMES9

Sheffield Wednesday: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

NOTTS COUNTY OR DRAW

37%

NO · 80/85

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY OR DRAW

85%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NOTTS COUNTYxSHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.801.80CONCEDED A GAME0.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Notts County have scored in 70% of their games.

Sheffield Wednesday have scored in 70% of their games.

Notts County kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Sheffield Wednesday kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards