Match details. League One. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
Form. Luton have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. Barnsley FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D.
The numbers. Luton score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Luton average 6.1 shots (2.6 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Barnsley FC score 1.6 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Barnsley FC average 8.5 shots (3.8 on target), 8.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 66% against the records' 43%.
The read. No firm call: Luton are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Luton the likelier winners; Luton are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Luton are a clear winner, no Unders); Luton Over 1.5 goals (Luton's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Under 5.5 Goals (Luton are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Luton 2-1 Barnsley FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Luton or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUT 6 of 7 (86%) · BAR 7 of 7 (100%)96.5%
Luton: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Luton: only games against sides at Barnsley FC's level · Barnsley FC: only games against sides at Luton's level
Luton or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
LUT 5 of 7 (71%) · BAR 6 of 7 (86%)76.8%
Luton: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Luton: only games against sides at Barnsley FC's level · Barnsley FC: only games against sides at Luton's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
LUT 6 of 7 (86%) · BAR 7 of 7 (100%)83.7%
Luton: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Barnsley FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Luton: only games against sides at Barnsley FC's level · Barnsley FC: only games against sides at Luton's level
BARNSLEY FC GOALS
Barnsley FC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.38
LUT 5 of 7 (71%) · BAR 4 of 7 (57%)68.2%
Barnsley FC scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Luton conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Barnsley FC: only games against sides at Luton's level · Luton: only games against sides at Barnsley FC's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
LUT 6 of 7 (86%) · BAR 6 of 7 (86%)85.7%
Luton: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · Luton: only games against sides at Barnsley FC's level · Barnsley FC: only games against sides at Luton's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.13
LUT 5 of 7 (71%) · BAR 7 of 7 (100%)85.7%
Luton: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · Luton: only games against sides at Barnsley FC's level · Barnsley FC: only games against sides at Luton's level
2nd Half - Luton Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.31
LUT 5 of 7 (71%) · BAR 6 of 7 (86%)78.6%
Luton: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · Luton: only games against sides at Barnsley FC's level · Barnsley FC: only games against sides at Luton's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.63
LUT 5 of 7 (71%) · BAR 5 of 7 (71%)71.4%
Luton: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores · Luton: only games against sides at Barnsley FC's level · Barnsley FC: only games against sides at Luton's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUT 4 of 7 (57%) · BAR 7 of 7 (100%)78.6%
Luton's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Barnsley FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Luton: only games against sides at Barnsley FC's level · Barnsley FC: only games against sides at Luton's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Luton are a clear winner - no Unders); Luton Over 1.5 goals (Luton's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Under 5.5 Goals (Luton are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–110%
Luton goals →
Barnsley FC goals ↓
0-06%
1-010%
2-010%
3-07%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-17%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-30.8%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.1%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
LUTONLWDWLLDWLL1.10 PPG
BARNSLEY FCLLLLDDLLWW0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LUTON HOMExBARNSLEY FC AWAY
1.89SCORED A GAME1.001.89CONCEDED A GAME1.8920%CLEAN SHEETS0%6.22CORNERS A GAME8.331.56CARDS A GAME2.60
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.22POINTS A GAME0.89+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.89-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.60.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.29LEAGUE GAMES9
Luton: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
71%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 85/90
LUTON OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
BARNSLEY FC OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LUTONxBARNSLEY FC
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.801.40CONCEDED A GAME2.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES15.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Luton have scored in 80% of their games.
Barnsley FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Luton kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Barnsley FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards