BFBLA

19:45Tue 20 Oct

MIL

Blackpool FC vs Milton Keynes Dons

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. League One, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Bloomfield Road, Blackpool.

What's at stake. Blackpool FC are 20th on 8 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Peterborough, level on points with Barnsley. A win would take them above Peterborough. Milton Keynes Dons are 18th on 9 points after 9 games, level on points with Doncaster, level on points with Peterborough. A win would take them above Doncaster.

Form. Blackpool FC have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. Milton Keynes Dons have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D.

The numbers. Blackpool FC score 2.2 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Blackpool FC average 7.7 shots (2.3 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Milton Keynes Dons score two and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Milton Keynes Dons average 3.9 shots (1.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Blackpool FC have won three, drawn one and lost one. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. In the last four, Blackpool FC won two, one was drawn and Milton Keynes Dons won one. The last time they met, on 9 Mar 2021, it finished Blackpool FC 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons: Blackpool FC had 4 shots to 8, 29% of the ball, one yellow card.

Where it pulls both ways. Milton Keynes Dons are the form side, but the meetings favour Blackpool FC: in the last five meetings, Blackpool FC won three, Milton Keynes Dons won one and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; four of the last five meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Blackpool FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Milton Keynes Dons or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Blackpool FC 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.21

BLA 6 of 7 (86%) · MIL 6 of 8 (75%)89.8%

Blackpool FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Milton Keynes Dons: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 5 · Blackpool FC: only games against sides at Milton Keynes Dons's level · Milton Keynes Dons: only games against sides at Blackpool FC's level

BLACKPOOL FC GOALS

Blackpool FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.20

BLA 5 of 7 (71%) · MIL 6 of 8 (75%)76.1%

Blackpool FC scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Milton Keynes Dons conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 3 of 5 · Blackpool FC: only games against sides at Milton Keynes Dons's level · Milton Keynes Dons: only games against sides at Blackpool FC's level

MILTON KEYNES DONS GOALS

Milton Keynes Dons Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 81%

1.23

BLA 6 of 8 (75%) · MIL 6 of 7 (86%)58.8%

Milton Keynes Dons scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Blackpool FC conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 1 of 5 · Milton Keynes Dons: only games against sides at Blackpool FC's level · Blackpool FC: only games against sides at Milton Keynes Dons's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.29

BLA 5 of 7 (71%) · MIL 6 of 8 (75%)69.9%

Blackpool FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Milton Keynes Dons: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 3 of 5 · on half-time scores · Blackpool FC: only games against sides at Milton Keynes Dons's level · Milton Keynes Dons: only games against sides at Blackpool FC's level

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5LEANPAGE ONLY

1.17

BLA 7 of 7 (100%) · MIL 6 of 8 (75%)69%

Blackpool FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Milton Keynes Dons: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 2 of 5 · on half-time scores · Blackpool FC: only games against sides at Milton Keynes Dons's level · Milton Keynes Dons: only games against sides at Blackpool FC's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Blackpool FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Milton Keynes Dons or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Blackpool FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Blackpool FC goals →

Milton Keynes Dons goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

BLACKPOOL FCLLDLLDLLWL0.50 PPG

MILTON KEYNES DONSWLWWDDDLDD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BLACKPOOL FC HOMExMILTON KEYNES DONS AWAY

1.44SCORED A GAME1.221.78CONCEDED A GAME1.7810%CLEAN SHEETS20%22%FAILED TO SCORE22%5.44CORNERS A GAME5.002.00CARDS A GAME1.301.32xG1.362.22xG AGAINST1.90

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.89POINTS A GAME1.00-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.71-3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.50.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.29LEAGUE GAMES7

Milton Keynes Dons: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

81%

NO · 85/90

BLACKPOOL FC OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

MILTON KEYNES DONS OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BLACKPOOL FCxMILTON KEYNES DONS

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.402.40CONCEDED A GAME2.003.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE80%2.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–14.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

BLACKPOOL FC 3 · 60%DRAW 1MILTON KEYNES DONS 1 · 20%

0 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

1 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2017-08-12Blackpool FC 1 – 0 Milton Keynes Dons

2018-03-24Blackpool FC 0 – 0 Milton Keynes Dons

2019-09-14Blackpool FC 0 – 3 Milton Keynes Dons

2020-10-24Blackpool FC 1 – 0 Milton Keynes Dons

2021-03-09Blackpool FC 1 – 0 Milton Keynes Dons

TRENDS

Blackpool FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Milton Keynes Dons have scored in 80% of their games.

Blackpool FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Milton Keynes Dons kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards