WOLWOL

19:45Tue 20 Oct

POR

Wolves vs Portsmouth FC

CLASS E

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

WOLv

Under 3.5 Goals

Wolves v Portsmouth FC

England - Championship · 19:45

1.42odds

70%book

+15edge

—angles

THE READ

Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton. The referee is Edward Duckworth.

Form. Wolves have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. Portsmouth FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D.

The numbers. Wolves score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Wolves average 6.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Portsmouth FC score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Portsmouth FC average 6.4 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

The case against. Portsmouth FC's record still gives them 39% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.

The read. Wolves to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Wolves the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Wolves.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.44, 70% on the records (Wolves: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 8; Portsmouth FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Portsmouth FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Wolves); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Wolves 1-0 Portsmouth FC (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Wolves or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.13

WOL 5 of 8 (62%) · POR 4 of 5 (80%)72.3%

Wolves: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Portsmouth FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 66% · Wolves: only games against sides at Portsmouth FC's level · Portsmouth FC: only games against sides at Wolves's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.16

WOL 6 of 8 (75%) · POR 5 of 5 (100%)92.8%

Wolves: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Portsmouth FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · Wolves: only games against sides at Portsmouth FC's level · Portsmouth FC: only games against sides at Wolves's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.42

WOL 4 of 8 (50%) · POR 4 of 5 (80%)85.2%

Wolves: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Portsmouth FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · Wolves: only games against sides at Portsmouth FC's level · Portsmouth FC: only games against sides at Wolves's level

WOLVES GOALS

Wolves Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.14

WOL 7 of 8 (88%) · POR 3 of 5 (60%)73.5%

Wolves scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Portsmouth FC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · Wolves: only games against sides at Portsmouth FC's level · Portsmouth FC: only games against sides at Wolves's level

Left off the list: Portsmouth FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Wolves); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.4%

Wolves goals →

Portsmouth FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-011%

2-011%

3-07%

4-03%

5-01%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-25%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-30.7%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

WOLVESWLLWLWDLWW1.60 PPG

PORTSMOUTH FCWWLDDWLLWL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

WOLVES HOMExPORTSMOUTH FC AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.301.50CONCEDED A GAME1.3030%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.50CORNERS A GAME6.401.40CARDS A GAME1.30

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.70POINTS A GAME1.40+0.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+2.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.610LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

67%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

85%

NO · 85/90

WOLVES OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

PORTSMOUTH FC OR DRAW

55%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

WOLVESxPORTSMOUTH FC

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.411.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Wolves have scored in 80% of their games.

Portsmouth FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Wolves kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Portsmouth FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards