El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at El Gouna Stadium, El Guna.
What's at stake. El Gouna FC are 19th on 2 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Abu Qair Semad, 1 point clear of Ghazl El Mehalla. A win would take them above Abu Qair Semad. Smouha SC are 13th on 7 points after 6 games, level on points with AL Masry, level on points with El Geish. A win would take them above AL Masry.
Form. El Gouna FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Smouha SC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D.
The numbers. El Gouna FC score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. El Gouna FC average 6.6 shots (1.9 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Smouha SC score 0.3 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and seven games without a goal. Smouha SC average 7.1 shots (2.5 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings El Gouna FC have won four, drawn four and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, El Gouna FC won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 27 Oct 2025, it finished El Gouna FC 1-0 Smouha SC: El Gouna FC had 8 shots to 12, 38% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. El Gouna FC's record still gives them 47% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Smouha SC or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Both teams' records favour El Gouna FC; the meetings favour El Gouna FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.11, 79% on the records (El Gouna FC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9; Smouha SC: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10). Backup: Smouha SC or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: El Gouna FC 1-1 Smouha SC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).