Match details. Serie B. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time.
Form. Sampdoria Genoa have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. SS Arezzo have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L.
The numbers. Sampdoria Genoa score 0.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sampdoria Genoa average 5.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game. SS Arezzo score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. SS Arezzo average 4.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Sampdoria Genoa 1-1 SS Arezzo (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).