Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 4 - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Xerez have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. CD Ciudad de Lucena have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D.
The numbers. CD Xerez score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CD Xerez average 5.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. CD Ciudad de Lucena score 1.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. CD Ciudad de Lucena average 3.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Ciudad de Lucena or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Xerez 1-1 CD Ciudad de Lucena (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDX 5 of 5 (100%) · CDC 5 of 6 (83%)95.3%
CD Xerez: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · CD Xerez: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games in CD Xerez's division
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDX 5 of 5 (100%) · CDC 5 of 6 (83%)88.2%
CD Xerez: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · CD Xerez: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games in CD Xerez's division
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDX 5 of 5 (100%) · CDC 5 of 6 (83%)74.2%
CD Xerez: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · CD Xerez: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games in CD Xerez's division
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
CDX 3 of 5 (60%) · CDC 3 of 6 (50%)52.6%
CD Xerez: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · CD Xerez: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games in CD Xerez's division
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA GOALS
CD Ciudad de Lucena Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDX 6 of 6 (100%) · CDC 3 of 5 (60%)72%
CD Ciudad de Lucena scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Xerez conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games in CD Xerez's division · CD Xerez: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
Left off the list: CD Ciudad de Lucena or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.4%
CD Xerez goals →
CD Ciudad de Lucena goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CD XEREZDWLDLDDDWD1.20 PPG
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENAWWWLDDWLWW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD XEREZ HOMExCD CIUDAD DE LUCENA AWAY
0.67SCORED A GAME1.830.83CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%BOTH SCORED50%50%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.00CORNERS A GAME3.401.67CARDS A GAME2.80
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME1.83-0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.83–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.01.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.06LEAGUE GAMES6
CD Ciudad de Lucena: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
40%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CD XEREZ OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD XEREZxCD CIUDAD DE LUCENA
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME2.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.001.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES6.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Xerez have scored in 50% of their games.
CD Ciudad de Lucena have scored in 90% of their games.
CD Xerez kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
CD Ciudad de Lucena kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards